SYSTEM DYNAMICS GROUP
2001 PUBLICATIONS LIST
System Dynamics Group
Sloan School of Management
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Room E60-375 30 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02139
http://web.mit.edu/sdg/
http://sysdyn.mit.edu
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2001 ORDER FORM
NOTE: All orders must be mailed with payment in U.S. dollars drawn on a U.S. bank enclosed. Also note that this page is for working papers and dissertations only. Flight simulator orders are sent to a separate office with a separate check. Please send a printed copy of this page with your check or money order, made payable to Massachusetts Institute of Technology, to:
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System Dynamics Group
E60-375 MIT
Cambridge, MA 02139 U.S.A.
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2001 PUBLICATIONS LIST
SYSTEM DYNAMICS GROUP SLOAN SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
ANDERSON, Edward
D-4673 "Business Cycles and Productivity in Capital Supply Chains: The Machine Tool Industry as a Case Study," Draft dated January 1997, 35 pp. $4.00
D-4611 "Upstream Volatility in the Supply Chain: The Machine Tool Industry as a Case Study," Co-authors: Fine, C.H., Parker G.G., Octoberj1996, 42pp. $4.00.
D-4610 "Modeling the Dynamics of Innovation at the Firm Level," Co-author: Joglekar, N.R. Presented at the System Dynamics Conference, Cambridge, MA. July 1996. 5 pp. $2.00.
D-4534 "Technology Ramp-Up Simulator Project Term Report," Co-author: N.R. Joglekar. May, 1995, 77pg. $7.00.
BAKKEN, Bent E.
D-4343 "Learning and Transfer of Understanding in Dynamic Decision Environments, " Doctoral Dissertation, January, 1993, 255 pp. $50.00.
D-4203 "Experimentation in Learning Organizations: A Management Flight Simulator Approach, co-authored with Janet Gould and Daniel Kim, 1991, 24pp., $3.00.
D-4166-1 "Transfer of Learning in Cyclical Markets: An Experimental Approach," June 1990, 15 pp. $3.00.
CHOUDHARI, Mark
D-4677 "The Dynamics of Competitive Strategy," Master’s Thesis, September, 1997 pp. 84, $30.00
DIEHL, Ernst W.
D-4290 "Effects of Feedback Structure on Dynamic Decision Making," Doctoral thesis, May 1992, 302 pp., $50.00.
FIDDAMAN, Thomas
D-4532 "Formulation Experiments with a Simple Climate/Economy Model,"1995 pp.20 $3.00
D-4365 Modelling the Impact of Quality Initiative Over the Software Product Life Cycle, Co-authors: Oliva, Rogelio, Aranda, R.R. April 1992, 10 pp. $2.00.
FORD, David
D-4825 "Expert Knowledge Elicitation to Improve Formal and Mental Models," Co-author: Sterman, John D., System Dynamics Review Vol. 14 No. 4 (Winter 1998): 309-340, $3.00.
D-4672 "Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes," co-author: Sterman, John D., Spring 1998, System Dynamics Review Vol. 14, No. 1 pp. 31-68. $4.00
D-4644 "The Dynamics of Project Management: An Investigation of the Impacts of Project Process and Coordination on Performance" PhD Dissertation, August 1995, pp. 342, $50.00
D-4460 "An Exploration of Systems Product Development at Gadget Inc." Co-aurhtors: Hou, Alex and Seville, Don; December, 1993. 54 Pg. $5.00.
FORRESTER, Jay W.
D-4726 "Designing the Future," Presentation at Universidad de Sevilla, Sevilla, Spain, December, 1998 13 pp. $2.00.
D-4808 "Disenando el Futuro," Presentation at Universidad de Sevilla, Sevilla, Spain, December, 1998. Same paper as D-4726 translated into Spanish by Prof. Jose Machuca. 13 pp. $2.00
D-4665 "System Dynamics and K-12 Teachers," Lecture at the University of Virginia School of Education, May 1996, 35 pp. $3.00.
D-4564-1 "System Dynamics and Learner-Centered Learning in K-12 Education," Presented in Atlanta, GA, Loridans Colloquim, November, 1995. pp. 27, $3.00.
D-4434-1 "Learning through System Dynamics as Preparation for the 21st Century," Keynote Address for Systems Thinking and Dynamic Modeling Conference, Concord, MA, June 1994. 22pp. $3.00.
D-4425 "System Dynamics--Its Place in K-12 Education," 2 pp. Free.
D-4405-1 "System Dynamics, Systems Thinking, and Soft OR," Forthcoming in System Dynamics Review, Summer 1994, Vol.10, No.2. 14 pp. $3.00.
D-4342 "Sustaining Leadership at MIT," The MIT Faculty Newsletter, October and November, 1993. 18 pp $3.00.
D-4345 "The CEO as Organization Designer," An interview with Forrester by Keough, M. and Doman, Andrew, The McKinsey Quarterly, 1992 No. 2. p. 3-30, 27pp. $3.00.
D-4340 "Reconsidering 'A New Corporate Design,' Forthcoming in Internal Markets, ed. Halal, William et al, John Wiley and Sons, 1993, $3.00.
D-4337 "System Dynamics and Learner-Centered-Learning in Kindergarten through 12th Grade Education," December, 1992 20 pp. $2.00.
D-4226-2 "Policies, Decisions and Information Sources for Modeling, " European Journal of Operational Research No. 59, 1992, pp. 42-63, Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., North-Holland, 21pp. $3.00.
D-4224 "System Dynamics and the Lessons of 35 Years," 1993, in Systems-Based Approach to Policymaking edited by Kenyon B. De Greene, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, MA, 34 pp. $4.00.
D-4346 "System Dynamics at Sloan," An interview with Kornel, Amiel, MIT Management, Fall, 1991. 5 pp. $3.00.
D-4209 "Designing Social and Managerial Systems," April 1991, 14pp., $3.00.
D-4207-1 "Longer-Term Economic Changes," April 1991, 12 pp., $3.00.
D-4198 "The National Economy in the 1990s--The Processes of Change," March 1990, 19pp., $3.00.
D-4197 "From the Ranch to System Dynamics: An Autobiography," A chapter for Management Laureates: A Collection of Autobiographical Essays, edited by Arthur G. Bedeian, JAI Press, March 1992, 32 pp. $4.00
D-4188 "Beyond Case Studies--Computer Models in Management Education," Book in honor of Prof. Gert von Kortzfleisch, University of Mannheim, December, 1990, 12 pp. $3.00.
D-4187 "Low Productivity: is it the Problem, or Merely a Symptom?" Forthcoming in Productivity Measurement Handbook, ed. William Christopher and C. Thor, Productivity Press, Dec, 1990, 18 pp. $3.00.
D-4171 "Models and the Real World," Presented at Association for Computing Machinery, November, 1990. 18 pp. $3.00.
D-4132 "Understanding Urban Behavior," Presented at a meeting on Prospects of Megapolis, Paris, France. February, 1990. 46 pp. $5.00.
D-4165 "The Beginning of System Dynamics," Banquet Talk at the System Dynamics Society Conference, Stuttgart, Germany, July 1989. Also reprinted by McKinsey Quarterly, 1995 No. 4. 16 pp. $3.00.
D-4035 "An Economic Pilot Plant," CHEMTECH, January, 1989, pp. 26-33. $3.00.
D-4020 "The System Dynamics National Model: Macrobehavior from Microstructure," March, 1989. 11pp. $3.00.
D-4006-1 "Designing Social and Managerial Systems," Award recipient address, Lord Corporation Symposium, October, 1988, 10 pp. $3.00.
D-3963 "The Next Frontier: Understanding Social Systems," Commencement address, State University of New York at Albany, May, 1988, 8 pp. $2.00
D-3977 "Viewpoint: Real Estate and the Exchange Rate During a Long-wave Downturn," June, 1988, 1 pp. $2.00.
D-3938 "Economics, Technology, and the Environment," Presentation at the Agricoltura 2000 Award Ceremony, Rome, Italy, November, 1987, 14 pp. $3.00.
D-3937 "The Economy: Where Is It Headed?" Los Angeles Daily News, October, 1987, 5 pp. $2.00.
D-3925 "Trade, Competitiveness, and Foreign Investment," September, 1987, 18 pp. $3.00.
D-3920 "Comments on System Dynamics in China," August, 1987, 1 pp. $2.00.
D-3904-1 "Lessons From System Dynamics Modeling," System Dynamics Review, Vol 3. No. 2, 1986, 17 pp. $3.00.
D-3903 "System Dynamics and Its Use in Understanding Urban and Regional Development," Lectures in the People’s Republic of China, June, 1987, 24 pp. $3.00.
D-3890 "Comparison of the 1920s and 1980s," April, 1987, 31 pp. $4.00.
D-3721-1 "System Dynamics in Management Education," June, 1985, 5 pp. $3.00.
D-3691-1 "Nonlinearity in High-Order Models of Social Systems," March, 1985, for the workshop on Modeling Complex Systems, University of Texas, Austin, TX, 12 pp. $3.00.
D-4380 "14 'obvious truths' ", System Dynamics Review, Vol. 3, No. 2, Summer 1987. 4 pp. $2.00.
D-3684-3 "Dynamic Modeling of the Arms Race," January, 1985, 6 pp. $3.00.
D-3644 "Understanding Economic Complexity," October, 1984, $3.00.
D-3570 "The System Dynamics National Model-- Objectives, Philosophy, and Status," presented at the International System Dynamics Conference, Oslo, August, 1984, 32 pp. $4.00.
D-3571-2 "Managing the Next Decade in the Economy," presented the Congressional Clearinghouse on the Future, June, 1984, 11 pp. $3.00.
D-3992 "An Interview with Jay Forrester" by George Richardson, PLEXUS, System Dynamics News, Vol. 2, No. 2, May, 1983, 11 pp. $2.00.
D-3447-2 "An Integrated Approach to the Economic Long Wave" co-authors: Alan Graham, Peter Senge, and John Sterman), Position Papers for Conference on Long Waves, Depression, and Innovation, Siena-Florence, Italy, October, 1983, 42 pp. $5.00.
D-3405 "A Longer-term View of Current Economic Conditions," March, 1983, 17 pp. $3.00.
D-3454 "Future Development of the System Dynamics Paradigm," Keynote address for the 1983 International System Dynamics Conference, 14 pp. $3.00.
D-3325 "National Modeling in the Global Context," September, 1981, 30 pp. $4.00.
D-3267 "Computer Models and Public Policy," November, 1980, 9 pp. $3.00.
D-3252-1 "Education for the 21st Century," October, 1980, 15 pp. $3.00.
D-3171-1 "Christianity in a Steady-State World," December, 1979, 24 pp. $3.00.
D-3139-1 "More Productivity Will Not Solve Our Problems," (R-4) Business and Society Review, No. 35, pp. 10-18. $3.00.
D-3114-1 "Information Sources for Modeling the National Economy," (R-5) Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol 75, No. 371, pp. 555-574, (1980) $4.00.
D-2926-7 "Tests for Building Confidence in System Dynamics Models," coauthor:Peter Senge (R-6), System Dynamics TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences, Vol 14, pp 209-228, (1980). $4.00.
D-3108-1 "System Dynamics--Future Opportunities," (R-7) System Dynamics TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences, Vol 14, pp. 7-21, (1980). $4.00.
D-2876-1 "An Alternative Approach to Economic Policy-- Macrobehavior from Microstructure," March 1979, 44 pp. $5.00.
D-3017-2 "Energy Policy," Keynote Address at annual meeting of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, February, 1979, 18 pp. $3.00.
D-4830 "Changing Economic Patterns," Technology Review, August/September, 1978 p. 47-53. $2.00
D-4066 "Growth Cycles," De Economist (The Netherlands), Vol. 125, November, 1977, 19 pp. $3.00.
D-4067 "Population Vs. Standard of Living: The Trade-off That Nations Must Decide": The Futurist, Vol. X, No. 5, October, 1976, pp. 246-250. $3.00.
D-4070 "Moving into the 21st Century: Dilemmas and Strategies for American Higher Education," Liberal Education, Vol LXII, No. 2, May, 1976, pp. 158-176. $4.00.
D-4071 "Educational Implications of Responses to System Dynamics Models," (R-14) World Modelling: A Dialogue, Vol. 2, TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences, 1976, pp. 27-35. $3.00.
D-2251-2 "New Perspectives for Growth Over the Next Thirty Years," Limits to Growth Conference, Houston, TX, October, 1975, 21 pp. $3.00.
D-4073 "Limits to Growth Revisited," (R-16) Journal of the Franklin Institute, Vol. XXX, No. 2, August 1975, pp. 107-111, $2.00.
D-1964 "The Debate on World Dynamics: A Response to Nordhaus," co-authors: Gilbert Low and Nathaniel Mass (R-17), Policy Sciences, Vol. 5, June, 1974,
pp. 169-190. $4.00.
D-1728-1 "The Fledgling Cheermonger," Cambridge Review, Vol. 94, No. 2211, February, 1973, 8 pp. $2.00.
D-1713-2 "Control of Urban Growth," The APWA Reporter, Vol. 39, No. 10, October, 1972, pp. 14-19. $2.00.
D-4074 "Churches at the Transition Between Growth and World Equilibrium," (R-20) Zygon: Journal of Religion and Science, Vol. VII, No. 3, 1971, pp. 145-167. $3.00.
D-2459 "Urban Goals and National Objectives," Conference of Cities, Indianapolis, IN, May, 1971, 10 pp. $2.00.
D-4468 "Counterintuitive Behavior of Social Systems," (R-21) Technology Review, Vol. 73, No. 3, January, 1971, pp. 52-68. $4.00.
D-4258 "Creative Renewal in a Time of Crisis," Report of the Commission on MIT Education, November 1970 15 pp. $2.00.
D-4076 "A Deeper Knowledge of Social Systems," (R-22) Technology Review, Vol. 71, No. 6, April, 1969, pp. 2-11. $2.00.
D-4077 "Industrial Dynamics-- Response to Ansoff and Slevin," (R-23) Management Science, Vol. XIV, No. 9, May, 1968, pp. 601-618. $2.00.
D-4078 "Industrial Dynamics-- After The First Decade," (R-24) Management Science, Vol. XIV, No. 7, March, 1968, pp. 398-415. $2.00.
D-4079 "Market Growth as Influenced by Capital Investment," (R-25) Industrial Management Review, Vol. IX, No. 2, Winter, 1968, pp. 83-105. $3.00.
D-4080 "A New Corporate Design," (R-26) Sloan Management Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, Fall, 1965, pp. 5-17. $2.00.
D-4081 "Common Foundations Underlying Engineering and Management," (R-27) IEEE Spectrum, September, 1964, pp. 66-77. $2.00.
FORRESTER, Nathan
D-4052 "A Computer Approach to Environmental System Design-- Dynamics of a Predator-Prey Relationship," (formerly D-2598) 1969, 32 pp. $4.00.
GOULD, Janet
D-4203 "Experimentation in Learning Organizations: A Management Flight Simulator Approach, co-authored with Bent Bakken and Daniel Kim, 1991, 24pp., $3.00.
D-3666 "Artificial Intelligence: A Tool for System Dynamics," April, 1985, 14 pp. $3.00.
GRAHAM, Alan K.
D-4486 "Organizational Learning: Medical Metaphor and Corporate Practice," November 1994,pp.13 $2.00
D-4333 "Total Quality Management As a Learning System," Co-author: Shiba, Shoji, The Center for Quality Management Journal, Vol. 2, No. 1, Winter 1993, pp. 48-56. 10 pp. $2.00.
D-4310 "Model-supported case studies for Management Education," Co-authors: Senge, Peter, Morecroft, John and Sterman, John; European Journal of Operational Research Vol. 59, 1992 pp 151-166. 15pp. $2.00.
D-4184 "Model-Supported Case Studies for Management Education," co-authors: John D.W. Morecroft, Peter Senge, and John Sterman, Computer Based Management of Complex Systems, Eds: Milling, P. and Zahn, E., Berlin: Springer Verlag, 317-326, 1989, 25pp., $4.00.
D-4139-2 "Beyond Total Quality: Discussions with Professor Shoji Shiba," November, 1989, pp. 18, $4.00.
D-4039 "Computer-Based Case Studies in Management Education and Research,"coauthors: Peter Senge, John Sterman, and Alan Graham, May, 1989, 8 pp. $3.00.
D-4008 "Computer-based Case Study and Learning Laboratory Projects," co-author: Peter Senge, October, 1988, 4 pp. $2.00.
D-3980 "Viewpoint: Brazilian Debt," July, 1988, 10 pp. $3.00.
D-3947 "Generic Models as a Basis for Computer-Based Case Studies," January, 1988. $4.00.
D-3736-1 "Generic Models as Educational Tools: Teaching About Managing Technological Conversions," co-author: D. Neal Scogin, Proceedings of the 1985 Intl. System Dynamics Conference, July, 1985, 17 pp. $3.00.
D-3573 "Introduction to the System Dynamics National Model Structure," May, 1984, 29 pp. $3.00.
D-3441 "Behavioral Analysis Software for Large DYNAMO Models," co-author: Alexander Pugh, May, 1983, 24 pp. $3.00.
D-3411-2 "Strategies for Converting to New Technologies: Computer Graphics in the Color Printing Industry," co-author: David Kreutzer, (WP-1503-83) August, 1983, 32 pp. $4.00.
D-4105 "Software Design: Breaking the Bottleneck," (R-29) IEEE Spectrum, March, 1982, 8 pp. $2.00.
D-3549 "The Long Wave," (R-30) Journal of Business Forecasting, Vol. 1, No. 5, Fall, 1982, pp. 69-74. $2.00.
D-4106 "A Long-wave Hypothesis of Innovation," co-author: Peter Senge, (R-31)Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 17, 1980, pp. 283-311. $3.00.
D-2916-3 "Parameter Estimation in System Dynamics Modeling," July, 1979, 34 pp. $4.00.
HINES, James H.
D-4645 "Essays in Behavioral Economic Modeling," PhD Dissertation, October 1987, pp.205, $50.00
D-3936 "A Behavioral Theory of Interest Rate Behavior," Sloan (WP-1951-87), November, 1987, pp. 59. $6.00.
JONES, Andrew P.
D-4685 "Sustaining Process Improvement in Product Development: The Dynamics of Part and Print Mismatches, June 1997, MIT Master’s Thesis, 126 pp. $30.00.
D-4609 "The Effectiveness of System Dynamics in Conflict Resolution: Whose Model? Whose Modeling?", May 1996, pp. 20, $2.00
KAMPMANN, Christian E.
D-4802 "Feedback Complexity, Bounded Rationality, and Market Dynamics," Coauthor: Sterm, John D., June 1998, 41 pp. $4.00.
D-4304 "Feedback Complexity and Market Adjustment: An Experimental Approach," (Doctoral Thesis, May 1992, 478 pp., $50.00).
D-4278 "Do Markets Mitigate Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Tasks?" co-author: John Sterman, March 1992, 25pp., $4.00.
D-4174 "System Dynamics Games as Research: A Methodological Appraisal," October, 1988, 19 pp., $3.00.
KHAN, Omar S.
D-4688 "System Dynamics Modeling of Generic Quality Improvement programs," May 1997, MIT Master’s Thesis, 134 pp. $30.00.
KIM, Daniel H.
D-4444 "Managerial Pracice Fields: Infrastructures of a Learning Organization," July, 1994, pp.23, $4.00.
D-4438 "Putting Systems Thinking Into Practice," Co-author Senge, Peter; January 1994, pp.11 $3.00.
D-4414 "The Leader With The "Beginner's Mind," Healthcare Forum Journal, July/August 1993. 6 pp. $2.00.
D-4413 "The Link Between Individual and Organizational Learning," Sloan Management Review, Fall 1993. 14pp. $2.00.
D-4298 "A Palette of Systems Thinking Tools," The Systems Thinker, Vol. 1, No. 3, ,1992, 2 pp. Free.
D-4289 "Systems Archetypes as a Diagnostic Tool: A Field-based Study of TQM Implementations," Co-author: Burchill, Gary; 1992, 10 pp. $1.00.
D-4114 "Organizational Learning and Individual learning: Where the Twain Shall Meet?" September, 1992 30 pp. $3.00
D-4203 "Experimentation in Learning Organizations: A Management Flight Simulator Approach, co-authored with Janet Gould and Bent Bakken, 1991, 24pp., $3.00.
D-4162 "Total Quality and System Dynamics: Complementary Approaches to Organizational Learning," 1990, 15 pp. $3.00.
D-4036-4 "Toward Learning Organizations: Integrating Total Quality Control and Systems Thinking," June, 1989, 23 pp., $3.00.
D-4026 "Learning Laboratories: Designing a Reflective Learning Environment," 10 pp. $2.00.
D-4113 "Sun Microsystems: Sun3 Product Development/Release Model," December, 1988, 35 pp.,$3.00.
KRAHMER-KEATING, Elizabeth
D-4829 "Overcoming the Improvement Paradox," Co-authors: Oliva, R., Repenning, N., Rockart, S. Sterman, J.; European Management Journal, Vol. 17, No.2, April 1999 p. 120-134. $2.00
D-4826 "Everything You Ever Wanted to Know about How to Develop A System Dynamics Model, But Were Af4aid to Ask," 50 pp. $5.00
D-4622 "Improving Piece Parts Supplier Quality at Lucent Technologies’ Merrimack Valley Works," April 1997,50 pp. $4.00
D-4692 "A Dynamic Theory for Sustaining Process Improvement Teams in Product Development," Co-author, Oliva, Rogelio, forthcoming in Advances in Interdisciplinary Studies of Teams: Product Development Teams, Vol 5, Ed. M.M. Beyerlein and D.A. Johnson, Greenwich, CT: JAI Press. 45 pp. $5.00
D-4622 "Improving Piece Parts Supplier Quality at Lucent Technologies’ Merrimack Valley Works," April 1997, 50 pp $5.00.
D-4574 "The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programsm" co-authors: Repenning, N. Oliva, R., Sterman, J.D., Rockart, S. Proceeding of the 1996 NSF Design & Manufacturing Grantees Conference, Albuquerque, NM, January, 1996. $4.00.
KREUTZER, David P.
D-3928 "Tools for Developing Thinking Skills: System Dynamics in High Schools," September, 1987, 22 pp. $3.00.
D-3993 "Modeling Tools for Problem-solving," co-authors: Nancy Roberts and Tim Barclay, The International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, China, 1987, pp. 888-895. $2.00.
D-3923 "Microcomputer Based Policy Simulations of the AIDS Epidemic with STELLA and Professional DYNAMO," Presented at the Regional AIDS Conference, Quito, Equador, September, 1987, 16 pp. $3.00.
D-3857 "The Dynamics of Speculation," November, 1986, 22 pp. $3.00.
D-3732 "A Personal Computer Workshop for Exploring the Dynamics of Arms Races," Workshop notes, May, 1985, 28 pp. $3.00.
D-3994 "System Dynamics: Getting the Big Picture," The MIT Report, Vol. XIII, No. 4, April, 1985, 2 pp. $1.00.
D-3411-2 "Strategies for Converting to New Technologies, Computer Graphics in the Color Printing Industry," co-author: Alan K. Graham, (WP-1503-83) 32 pp. $4.00.
D-3991 Selected Articles for Classroom Computer News on system dynamics in high schools, Vol. 3. No. 3, Jan./Feb., 1983. $3.00.
MORECROFT, John D. W.
D-4184 "Model-Supported Case Studies for Management Education," co-authors: Alan Graham, Peter Senge, and John Sterman, Computer Based Management of Complex Systems, Eds: Milling, P. and Zahn, E., Berlin: Springer Verlag, 317-326, 1989, 25pp., $4.00.
D-4150 "Modelling Growth Strategy in a Biotechnology Startup Firm," Co-authors: David C. Lane and Paul S. Viita, London Business School, 1989, 31 pp. $4.00.
D-4002 "Executive Knowledge, Models and Strategic Change," Rev. September, 1988, 39 pp. $4.00.
D-3982 "System Dynamics and Microworlds for Policymakers," European Journal of Operational Research, submitted September, 1987, pp. 301-320. $3.00.
D-4359 "The Dynamics of a Fledgling High-technology Growth Market: Understanding and Managing Growth Cycles," System Dynamics Review, Vol 2, No. 1, 1986 P. 36-61. $4.00
D-3825 "System Dynamics and Policy Reasoning," (WP) May, 1986, 26 pp. $3.00.
D-3807 "A Behavioral Simulation Model of Forecasting and Production Scheduling in a Datacommunications Company," (WP-1766-86) March, 1986, 59 pp. $6.00.
D-3806 "A Behavioral Simulation Model of Sales Planning and Control in a Datacommunications Company," March 1986. 61 pp. $6.00.
D-3773-1 "Strategy and the Representation of Structure," co-author: James H. Hines (WP-1721-85), April, 1986, 65 pp. $6.00.
D-3757 "Learning from Behavioral Modeling and Simulation of Business Policy" (WP-1678-85), June, 1985, 53 pp. $6.00.
D-4082 "Rationality in the Analysis of Behavioral Simulation Models" (R-44), Management Science, Vol. 31. No. 7, July, 1985, pp. 900-916. $3.00.
D-3640-3 "System Dynamics for Reasoning About Business Policy and Strategy," co-author: Mark Paich (WP-1606-84), April, 1986, 58 pp. $6.00.
D-3568 "Foresight in Business Planning," co-author: James P. Cleary, (WP-1577-84) June, 1984, 41 pp. $5.00.
D-3560-1 "The Feedback View of Business Policy and Strategy," May, 1985, 32 pp. $4.00.
D-4083 "Strategy Support Models," (R-45) Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 5, No. 3, 1984, 37 pp. $4.00.
D-3416-1 "Administrative Science and System Dynamics: Filling a Gap in Management Education," (WP-1543-84) January, 1984, 38 pp. $4.00.
MASHAYEKHI, Ali, N.
D-4667 "Reactiveness and Fragmentation in Maintenance Management," November 1996, 33 pp. $4.00
D-4634 "Development Projects Cost Dynamics," June 1996, pp.20, $2.00
OLIVA, Rogelio
D-4829 "Overcoming the Improvement Paradox," Co-authors: Keating, E., Repenning, N., Rockart, S. Sterman, J.; European Management Journal, Vol. 17, No.2, April 1999 p. 120-134. $2.00
D-4732 "Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts: Lessons From A Semiconductor Manufacturing Site," Co-authors: Sterman, John D. and Rockart, Scott, Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality: Volume 3 1998 Fedor, D.B. and Ghosh, S. (Eds), JAI Press, Greenich, CT. 63 pp., $6.00.
D-4692 "A Dynamic Theory for Sustaining Process Improvement Teams in Product Development," Co-author, Oliva, Rogelio, forthcoming in Advances in Interdisciplinary Studies of Teams: Product Development Teams, Vol 5, Ed. M.M. Beyerlein and D.A. Johnson, Greenwich, CT: JAI Press. 45 pp. $5.00.
D-4584 "A Vensim Module to Calculate Summary Statistics for Historical Fit,"May 1996, pp. 15, $2.00
D-4612 "Empirical Validation of a Dynamic Hypothesis," July 1996, Proceedings of the 1996 International System Dynamics Society Conference, Cambridge, MA, pp.8, $1.00
D-4643 "A Dynamic Theory of Service Delivery: Implications for Managing Service Quality," PhD Dissertation, June 1996, pp.186, $50.00
D-4574 "The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programsm" co-authors: Repenning, Sterman, J., R., Erahmer, E., Rockart, S. Proceeding of the 1996 NSF Design & Manufacturing Grantees Conference, Albuquerque, NM, January, 1996. $4.00.
D-4458-2 "A Framework for Reflecting on Methodology," 21 pp., $2.00.
D-4442-1 "The Greater Whole: Towards a Synthesis of System Dynamics and Soft System Methodology," with Lane, David C., Proceedings System Dynamics Society Conference, Stirling, Scotland, July 1994. 22. pp. $3.00.
D-4439 "Managerial Learning Laboratories: An Action Research Project for Group Learning," Proceedings of the 1994 International System Dynamics Conference, Stirling, Scotland, July 1994, pp.18 $2.00.
D-4371 "Developing a Theory of Service Quality/Serivce Capacity Interaction," Co-author: Senge, Peter, April 1993, 10 pp. $2.00.
D-4365 Modelling the Impact of Quality Initiative Over the Software Product Life Cycle, Co-authors: Fiddaman, Thomas, Aranda, R.R., April, 1993, 10 pp. $2.00.
PAICH, Mark
D-4491 "Boom and Bust: Decision Making in a Dynamic Market Environment," PhD Dissertation, December 1994, pp.157, $30.00
REPENNING, Nelson
D-4829 "Overcoming the Improvement Paradox," Co-authors: Oliva, R., Keating, E., Rockart, S. Sterman, J.; European Management Journal, Vol. 17, No.2, April 1999 p. 120-134. $2.00
D-4684 "Getting Quality the Old-Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement," co-author: John D. Sterman. Prepared for National Research Council workshop on Improving Theory and Research on Quality Enhancement in Organizations, April 1997, 56 pp. $6.00/
D-4613 "The Improvement Paradox: Three Essays on Process Improvement Initiatives," PhD Dissertation, June 1996, pp. 157, $50.00
D-4574 "The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programsm" co-authors: Sterman, J.D.,. Oliva, R., Erahmer, E., Rockart, S. Proceeding of the 1996 NSF Design & Manufacturing Grantees Conference, Albuquerque, NM, January, 1996. $4.00.
D-4390 "Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement," Co-authors: Kofman, Fred and Repenning, Nelson. Management Science, Vol.43. No. 4, April 1997, pp.54 $5.00.
ROCKART, Scott
D-4732 "Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts: Lessons From A Semiconductor Manufacturing Site," Co-authors: Oliva, Rogelio and Sterman, John D., Forthcoming in Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality: Volume 3, Fedor, D.B. and Ghosh, S. (Eds), JAI Press, Greenich, CT. 63 pp., $6.00.
D-4574 "The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programsm" co-authors: Repenning, N. Oliva, R., Erahmer, E., Sterman, J.D.. Proceeding of the 1996 NSF Design & Manufacturing Grantees Conference, Albuquerque, NM, January, 1996. $4.00.
SASTRY, M. Anjali
D-4642 "Time and Tide in Organizations: Simulating Change Processes in Adaptive, Punctuated, and Ecological Theories of Organizational Evolution," PhD Dissertation, June 1995, pp.245, $50.00
D-4368 "Desert Island Dynamics: An Annotated Survey of the Essential System Dynamics Literature," Co-author: Sterman, J. Forthcoming in the Proceedings of the 1993 Intl. System Dynamics Conference, Cancun, Mexico, April, 1993, 10 pp, $2.00.
D-4318 "The Dynamics of Organizational Change: A Simulation-Based Exploration of a Punctuated Equilibrium Theory." January, 1993, 46pp. $4.00.
SENGE, Peter M.
The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of the Learning Organization. New York: Doubleday/Currency. 1990. $24.95. Available from book stores.
D-4816 "Systems Principles for Leadership," Transforming Leadership, Ed. Adams, John. Miles River Press, 16 pp. $2.00.
D-4814 "Some Thoughts at the Boundaries of Classical System Dynamics: Structuration and Wholism," May 1998 12pp. $2.00.
D-4815 "Systems Change in Education," Encounter, Vol. 11,. No. 3 Autumn 1998 10pp. $1.00.
D-4813 "Systems Dynamics and Anticipatory Learning," Co-author Fulmer, Robert M. Executive Development and Organizational Learning for Global Business, Eds. Keys, J. B. and Fulmer, R.M., December 1993. 8 pp. $1.00.
D-4812 "The Ecology of Leadership" Who Cares Magazine, April 1997 2 pp. $1.00.
D-4287 "Transforming the Practice of Management" Systems Thinking in Action Conference, Novemeber 1991 15 pp. $2.00.
D-4495 "From Theory to Practice: Research Territory, Processes and Structure at the MIT Center for Organiational Learning," Co-author: Roth, George, March 1995, Journal of Organizational Change Management. pp.37 $4.00
D-4438 "Putting Systems Thinking Into Practice," Coauthor Kim, Daniel; January 1994 pp.11 $3.00.
D-4371 "Developing a Theory of Service Quality/Service Capacity Interaction," Co-author: Oliva, Rogelio, April 1993, 10 pp. $2.00.
D-4363 "An Interview with Peter Senge," Author Unknown, Forum Issues 14, 1993, 12 pp. $3.00.
D-4362 "The Learning Organization Made Plain: An Interview With Peter Senge," by Galagan, P.A., Training & Development, American Society for Training and Development, Alexandria, Virginia, October 1991, 9 pp $2.000
D-4355 "Internal Markets and Learning Organizations: Some Thoughts," January, 1993. 33 pp. $5.00.
D-4325 "Mental Models," Planning Review, March/April, 1992. 6 pp. $1.00.
D-4310 "Model-supported case studies for Management Education," Co-authors: Graham, Alan, Morecroft, John and Sterman, John, European Journal of Operational Research Vo. 59, 1992 pp 151-166. 15pp. $2.00.
D-4305 "Creating the Learning Organization: An Interview with Peter Senge" by David E. Meen and Mark Keough, in the McKinsey Quarterly, 1992 No. 1, 20 pp., $5.00.
D-4287 "Transforming the Practice of Management," November 1991, 25 pp., $5.00.
D-4288: "You Can't Get There from Here: Why Systems Thinking is Inseparable from Learning Organizations," April 1992, 12 pp., $3.00.
D-4283 "Building Learning Organizations," in Journal for Quality and Participation, March 1992, 8pp., $3.00.
D-4274 "Capturing the Spirit of Learning Through a Systems Approach," co-author: Colleen Lannon, in The School Administrator, November 1991, pp. 8-13, $3.00.
D-4184 "Model-Supported Case Studies for Management Education," co-authors: John D.W. Morecroft, Alan Graham, and John Sterman, , Computer Based Management of Complex Systems, Eds: Milling, P. and Zahn, E., Berlin: Springer Verlag, 317-326, 1989, 25pp., $4.00.
D-4185 "Overcoming Limits to Learning in Computer-Based Learning Environments," co-author: William Isaacs, October, 1990, 33pp., $4.00.
D-4175 "Rethinking the Health care," co-author:Diane Asay, in The Healthcare Forum Journal, May/June 1988, $3.00.
D-4199 "A Vote for Our Future," written for the Catalina Hills School System, Tucson, AZ, December, 1990. 2 pp., Free.
D-4194 "The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of the Learning Organization: A Conversation with Peter Senge," Edited by Colleen Lannon Kim, July, 1990, Grafton, VT. 8 pp. $2.00.
D-4192 "Managerial Microworlds," co-author Colleen Lannon, Technology Review, July 1990, 6 pp. $2.00.
D-4158-2 "Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future," Co-author, John Sterman, April, 1990, pp.28, in Transforming Organizations, T. Kochan and M. Useem, eds., Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1991 and in The European Journal of Operational Research 59 (1992) pp. 137-150, $5.00.
D-4048-1 "Integrating Total Quality Control and System Thinking," a conversation between Professor Shoji Shiba and Peter Senge,, POM Spectrum, Fall, 1989, 4 pp. $2.00.
D-4147 "Corporate and Statewide Perspectives on the Liability Insurance Crisis," co-author, George Richardson, Computer-Based Management of Complex Systems, Peter Milling & Erich Zahn, eds., Springer-Verlag, Berlin, July, 1989. 18 pp. $3.00.
D-4033 "Organizational Learning: New Challenges for System Dynamics" (short version), System Dynamics Society, Stuttgart Conference, April, 1989. 8 pp. $3.00.
D-4023 "Organizational Learning: New Challenges for System Dynamics" (long version), February, 1989. 14 pp. $4.00.
D-4008 "Computer-based Case Study and Learning Laboratory Projects," co-author: Alan Graham, October, 1988, 4 pp. $2.00.
D-3983 "Rethinking the Healthcare System," co-author: Diane Asay, Healthcare Forum Journal May/June, 1988, 5 pp. $3.00.
D-3984 "Economic Cross Currents: The Leadership Challenge for the 1990’s," Presentation at the Worcester Economic Club, February, 1988, 56 pp. $6.00.
D-3877-10 "Catalyzing Systems Thinking Within Organizations", Advances in Organization Development, F. Masarik, ed., Ablec Publishing, 1990, pp. 197-246, $6.00.
D-3861-2 "Organizational Growth and Management Overhead," coauthor: Dr. Nathan Forrester (WP-1898-87), February, 1987, 20 pp. $3.00.
D-3751-1 "Systems Principles for Leadership," Transforming Leadership From Vision to Results, John D. Adams, Ed., Miles River Press,, Chapter 10, pp. 133-157. $3.00.
D-3651-4 "The New Management: Moving from Invention to Innovation," New Management Magazine, Summer, 1986, Vol. 4, No. 1. $4.00.
D-3738 "System Dynamics, Mental Models, and the Development of Management Intuition," May, 1985, 12 pp. $3.00.
D-4093 "Systems Thinking in Business: An Interview with Peter Senge," (R-54) ReVISION, Vol 7, No. 2, 1984. $3.00.
D-3523-1 "Metanoic Organizations," coauthor: Charles F. Kiefer, TransformingWork, Dr. John Adams, editor. January,1984, Chapter 5, pp.68-84. $3.00.
D-3324-3 "Metanoic Organizations: Experiments in Organizational Innovation," coauthor: Charles Kiefer, February, 1982, Innovation Associates, Inc., 19 pp. $3.00.
STERMAN, John D.
D-4829 "Overcoming the Improvement Paradox," Co-authors: Keating, E.,Oliva, R., Repenning, N., Rockart, S.; European Management Journal, Vol. 17, No.2, April 1999 p. 120-134. $2.00
D-4825 "Expert Knowledge Elicitation to Improve Formal and Mental Models," Co-author: Ford, David N, System Dynamics Review Vol. 14 No. 4 (Winter 1998): 309-340, $3.00.
D-4802 "Feedback Complexity, Bounded Rationality, and Market Dynamics," Coauthor: Kampmann, Christian, June 1998, 41 pp. $4.00.
D-4780 "Total Quality Excellence at Ford Motor Company: The Experience of Driver Interactive Systems," by N.M. Fredrik Johnsson, Revised by John Sterman in May 1998. 50 pp. $4.00
D-4732 "Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts: Lessons From A Semiconductor Manufacturing Site," Co-authors: Oliva, Rogelio and Rockart, Scott, Forthcoming in Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality: Volume 3, Fedor, D.B. and Ghosh, S. (Eds), JAI Press, Greenich, CT. 63 pp., $6.00.
D-4819 "Superstitious Learning," The Systems Thinker, Vol. 8 No. 5, June/July 1997, 5 pp. $1.00.
D-4684 "Getting Quality the Old-Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement," co-author: Nelson Repenning. Prepared for National Research Council workshop on Improving Theory and Research on Quality Enhancement in Organizations, April 1997, 56 pp. $6.00/
D-4672* "Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes," co-author: Ford, David N., Spring 1998, System Dynamics Review Vol. 14, No. 1 pp. 31-68. $4.00
D-4635 "Interview with John D. Sterman," Interviewer: Steve Cavaleri, June 1994, Managing in Organizationa That Learn, Ed. Cavaleri, Steven and Fearon, David, Blackwell Business. 5 pp. k$1.00
D-4531* "Towards Evaluation of Systems Thinking Interventions: A Case Study," Co-author: Cavaleri, Steven, System Dynamics Review, pp.10 $2.00
D-4402 "Designing Corporate Strategy with System Dynamics: A Case Study in the Pulp and Paper Industry," Co-authores Risch, J., and Troyano-Bermudez,L. System Dynamics Review, Vol. 11 No. 4, p. 249-274. pp. 25 $4.00
D- 4375 "Mode Locking and Entrainment of Endogenous Economic Cycles," Co-authors Haxhold, C. Kampmann, C., and Mosekilde, E., System Dynamics Review, Vol. 11, No. 3, p. 177-198, $4.00
D-4390 "Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement," Co-authors: Kofman, Fred and Repenning, Nelson. Management Science, Vol.43. No. 4, April 1997, pp.54 $5.00.
D-4428 "Learning In and About Complex Systems," System Dynamics ReviewVol. 10, Nos. 2-3, Summer-Fall 1994 p. 291-330,. $4.00.
D-4412* "Playing the Maintenance Game: How Mental Models Drive Organizational Decisions," Co-author: Carroll, John S., Marcus, Alfred A. Nonrational Elements of Organizational Decision Making, Eds. Stern & Halpern, Cornell Univeristy ILR Press, Ithaca, NY, September 1993. 39 pp. $4.00.
D-4409 "Chaos and Hyperchaos in an Experimental Economic System," Co-authors: Mosekilde, Erik, Thomsen, Jesper: Forthcoming in Chaos and Complexity, Paris: Editions Frontieres, September, 1993. 16pp. $2.00
D-4401 "Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making," Co-author: Diehl, Ernst, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 62, No. 2 May 1994. pp.17 $4.00
D-4374 Delivery Time Reduction in Pulp and Paper Mill Construction Project: A Dynamic Analysis of Alternatives, Co-authors: Homer, Jack, Greenwood, Brian, and Perkola, Markku, May 1993, May 1993, 11 pp. $3.00.
D-4376 Entrainment in a Disaggregated Economic Long-Wave Model, Co-authors: Kampmann, Christian, Haxholdt, Christian, Mosekilde, Erik. Evolutionary Economics and Chaos Theory, Eds. Leydesdorff, L and Van den Besselaar, Peter. Pinter Publishers, London, 1994. 36 pp. $3.00.
D-4368 "Desert Island Dynamics: An Annotated Survey of the Essential System Dynamics Literature," Co-author: Sastry, A. Forthcoming in the Proceedings of the 1993 Intl. System Dynamics Conference, Cancun, Mexico,. April 1993, 10 pp, $2.00.
D-4367-2 "Path Dependence, Competition, and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution," Co-author:Wittenberg, Jason, June 1997, forthcoming in Organization Science. 52 pp. $4.00.
D-4360 "Nonlinear Interactions in the Economy," Co-authors:Mosekilde, E. and Thomsen, J.S., Economic Evolution and Demographic Change, Eds. Haag, Mueller, and Troitzsch, Springer-Verlad, 1992. p.35-61, $4.00
D-4352 "Evolutionary Economics and System Dynamics,"Co-author: Radzicki, M. S..In England, R. (Ed.), Evolutionary Concepts in Contemporary Economics Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press. 1993 43 pp. $4.00
D-4354-1 "A Behavioral Analysis of Learning Curve Strategy,".Co-authors: Beinhocker, E., Newman, L., and Henderson, R., (1993, Sloan School of Management, MIT, Cambridge, MA 02142. $3.00.
D-4296 "Learning to Stitch in Time: Building a Proactive Maintenance Culture at E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Co.," Co-authors: Banaghan, Ellen, Gorman, Elizabeth. 11 pp. $2.00
D-4279 "Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Markets," Co-author: Paich, Mark, Sloan School Working Paper 3441-92BPS. Forthcoming in Management Science. 37 pp. $4.00.
D-4334 "Modeling the Dynamics of Scientific Revolutions," Co-author: Wittenberg, J. In Vennix, J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 1992 International System Dynamics Conference 827-836). Utrecht: University of Utrecht.; 23 pp. $3.00.
D-4329 "Long Wave Decline and the Politics of Depression," Presentation to the Bank Credit Analyst Conference, New York City, September, 1992, pp.41, $4.00.
D-4324 "Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making," Co-authors: Mosekilde, E. and Thomsen, J.; SAMS, 1992, Vol. 9, pp. 137-156, Gordon and Breach Science Publishers S.A. 19pp. $2.00.
D-4323 "Nonlinear Mode-Interaction in the Macroeconomy," Co-authors: Mosekilde, Erik, Larsen, Erik, and Thomsen, Jesper; Annals of Operations Research, Vo. 37, pp. 185-215, 1992, J.C. Baltzer AG, Scientific Publishing Co. 30pp. $3.00.
D-4310 "Model-supported case studies for Management Eduction," Co-authors: Graham, Alan, Morecroft, John and Senge, Peter; European Journal of Operational Research Vo. 59, 1992 pp 151-166. 15pp. $2.00.
D-4308 "Business Cycles and Long Waves: A Behavioral Disequilibrium Perspective," Co-author: Mosekilde, Erik; Semmler, W. (ed.) Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers. 50 pp. $5.00.
D-4278 "Do Markets Mitigate Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Tasks?" Co-author: Kampmann; C. Proceedings, 1992 International System Dynamics Conference, University of Utrecht, The Netherlands. Also, Sloan Working Paper: 3421-92-BPS, May, 1992. 26 pp. $3.00.
D-4330 "Documenting System Dynamic Models," Sloan lecture hand-out, November, 1990. 5 pp. $1.00.
D-4294 "Modeling the Estimation of Petroleum Resources in the United States," co-authors: Goerge P. Richardson, and Päl Davidson, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change 33, 219-249 (1988), $5.00.
D-4281-1 "The Beer Distribution Game: An Annotated Bibliography Covering its History and Use in Education and Research," revised July 1992, 2pp., $2.00.
D-4237 "Response to 'On the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science,'"System Dynamics Review, 8 (1), 10 pp., $3.00.
D-4270 "Coping with Complexity: Deterministic Chaos in Human Decisionmaking Behavior," co-authors, Erik Moseklide and Erik Larsen, in Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction and Explanation in Science, ed. John Casti and Anders Karlqvist, 1991, 28 pp., $5.00.
D-4269 "Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making,"co-authors Erik Mosekilde, Jesper Thomsen, in Complexity, Chaos and Biological Evolution, E. Mosekilde and L. Mosekilde, ed., 1991, 18 pp., $3.00.
D-4210 "Mode Locking and Nonlinear Entrainment of Macroeconomic Cycles,"co authors Erik Mosekilde, Erik Reimer Larsen, ane Jesper Skovhus Thomsen, Forthcoming in Chen, P. and Day, R. (eds.) Evolutionary Dynamics and Nonlinear Economics., 27 pp.$4.00
D-4178 "A Long Wave Perspective on the Economy in the 1990s," The Bank Credit Analyst, Vol XLII—No. 1, July, 1990, pp. 28-47, $3.00.
D-4158 "Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future," Coauthor, Peter Senge, April, 1990, 28 pp.,in Transforming Organizations, T. Kochan and M. Useem, eds., Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1991 and in The European Journal of Operational Research 59 (1992) pp. 137-150, $5.00.
D-3976 "Deterministic Chaos in an Experimental Economic System," 1989, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol 12 1989, pp. 1-28. $6.00.
D-3995 "Experimental Evidence of Chaos in Models of Human Behavior," Proceedings IMACS 12th World Congress on Scientific Computation, Vichnevetsky, R., P. Borne, J. Vignes, editors. July (1988), Vol. 4, pp. 452-454. $2.00.
D-3959-1"Strategy Dynamics: the Rise and Fall of People Express," Lecture notes, March, 1988, 14 pp., $4
D-3921 "Deterministic Chaos in Models of Human Behavior: Methodological Issues and Experimental Results," System Dynamics Review, Vol. 4, Nos. 1 & 2, June, 1988, pp. 148-178. $4.00.
D-4012 "Modeling the Formation of Expectations: The History of Energy Demand Forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, May, 1988, pp.243-259. $3.00.
D-3919-2 "Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decisionmaking Experiment," Management Science, March 1989, 35(3), 321-339. $5.00.
D-3876-2 "Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decisionmaking," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, June, 1989, 43(3), 301-335. $5.00.
D-3898-1 "Control-Theory Heuristics for Improving the Behavior of Economic Models," coauthor: C. M. Ozveren, System Dynamics Review,Summer 1989, also Sloan WP #2074-88, 32 pp. $4.00.
D-3887 "Modeling the Estimation of Petroleum Resources in the United States," coauthors: George Richardson and Pål Davidsen , Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (1988), Vol. 33, pp. 219-249. $5.00.
D-3784 "Commentary: Third World Debt," February, 1987, 8 pp. $3.00.
D-4015 "Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant?" Presentation at the Bank Credit Analyst Conference, New York, NY, September, 1986, 15 pp. $3.00.
D-3821 "Expectation Formation in Behavioral Simulation Models," Behavioral Science (1987), Vol. 32, pp. 190-211. $5.00.
D-4095 "Bifurcations and Chaotic Behavior in a Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave," coauthors: Erik Mosekilde and Steen Rasmussen (R-60), System Dynamics Review, Vol. 1, No. 1, Summer, 1985, pp. 92-110. $3.00.
D-3432-1 "An Experiment to Evaluate Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources," coauthor: George Richardson (R-61 & R-52), Journal of Forecasting, (1985), Vol. 4, pp. 197-226. $3.00.
D-3712-1 "The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence," (WP-1656-85) System Dynamic Review, 2(2), 1986, pp.87-125. Also published in The Long Wave Debate, ed. Tibor Vasko Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1987, 127-161. $4.00.
D-4096 "The Growth of Knowledge: Testing a Theory of Scientific Revolutions with a Formal Model," (R-62) Technical Forecasting and Social Change, September, 1985, Vol. 38, No. 2, pp. 93-122. $3.00.
D-3795-1 "Nonlinear Dynamics in the World Economy: The Economic Long Wave," Structure, Coherence and Chaos in Dynamical Systems, Ed. by Christiansen, P. and Parmentier, R., Manchester Univ. Press, March, 1986, 30 pp. $4.00.
D-3783 "Testing Behavioral Simulation Models by Direct Experiment" (WP-1752-86), Management Science, (1987), 33(12), pp. 1572-1592. $5.00.
D-3786 "Viewpoint: Declining Inflation in Today’s Economy-- Causes and Expectations," coauthor: Nancy Hack, January, 1986, 4 pp. $3.00.
D-4097 "An Integrated Theory of the Economic Long Wave," (R-64), Futures,April, 1985, 28 pp. $3.00.
D-4098 "A Disaggregate Population Model of China," coauthor: Quifan Wang, (R-65), Simulation, July, 1985, 8 pp. $3.00.
D-3410-1 "A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave," (R-67), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol 6, 1985, pp. 17-53. $5.00.
D-4101 "A Skeptic’s Guide to Computer Models," (R-68), Proceedings of the International System Dynamics Conference, July, 1985, 45 pp. Also published in Foresight and National Decisions by Lindsey Grant, (1988), Univ. Press of America. Also published in Managing a Nation, Barney, G. O. et al (Eds.), 2nd ed. Boulder, CO: Westview Press 1991.$5.00.
D-3996 "Appropriate Summary Statistics for Evaluating the Historical Fit of System Dynamics Models, DYNAMICA, Vol. 10, Part II, Winter, 1984, pp. 51-66. $3.00.
D-3679 "Instructions for Running the Beer Distribution Game," 1984. Includes Beer Game Checklist by Dan Kim (D-4200, 1991) $10.00.
OTHERS
D-4784 "Consequences of Technological Strategies for Competiveness: Lessons from Statistical Analysis and Dynamics Modeling, Maier, Frank H., September, 1998, Sloan Working Paper #4033-98-MSA. Forthcoming in the System Dynamics Review.
D-4662 "How to Download Road Maps from the Internet,: Stephanie Albin and Nan Lux, 3 pp. Free
D-4494 "The Ford Lincoln Continental Case Study," George Roth, MIT Center for Organizational Learning, March 1994 pp.22 $2.00
D-4489 "System Dynamics for Kids," James Hight, MIT Technology Review February/March, 1995 pp.4 $1.00
D-4493 "The Organization of Learning in System Dynamics Practice," Saeed, Khalid, Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand. February 1`995,pp. 10 $2.00
D-4466 "Reality Checks: A Bridge Between Systems Thinking and System Dynamics," David Peterson and Robert Eberlein, February 1994, System Dynamics Review Vol. 10, nos. 2-3 (Summer-JFall 1994f) 159-174, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 16 pp. $2.00.
D-4464-1 "A System Dynamics-Based K-12 Economics Curriculum," Michael J. Radzicki, December, 1994, 5 pg. Free.
D-4431 "Using PowerSim to Teach Sustainable Economic Development," Michael J. Radzicki, Department of Social Science & Policy Studies, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, July 1994, 9pp.9, $2.00.
D-4410 "Causal Maps and Causal Theory Models: Two Views of Systems Theory, Seeger, John A.. Presentation to the Academy of Management Organizationa dn Management Theory Division, August, 1993. 17 pp. $2.00.
D-4358 "An Institutional Dynamics Model of Sterling, Massachusetts: Indicative Planning at the Local Level" Co-authors: Radzicki, Michael and Seville, Donald, Presented at the Association for Evolutionary Economics, Anaheim, California, January 1993,10 pp, $2.00.
D-4347 "Group Model Building," Richardson, George, Andersen, David, Rohrbaugh, John, Preceedings of the 1992 International System Dynamics Conference, Utrecht, The Netherlands. 10 pp. $1.00.
D-4306 "A Systems Thinking Perspective of the Product Development Process: A Study of Business and Academic Collaboration," Giancola, Paula; Master thesis, May 1992. 77 pp. $15.00.
D-4321-1 "System Thinking Resource Guide," Listing of private consultants using system dynamics in U.S. Free.
D-4297 "A System Dynamics Analysis of Total Quality Management Imnplementation False Starts," co-authors Brown, Jim and Scott S. F. Tse, (Masters thesis, May 1992, 130 pp., $25.00.
D-4151 "Toward a Structural Theory of Cancer," Barry Richmond, System Dynamics and Analysis of Change, B.E. Paulre (ed.), North-Holland Pub. Co., 1981, 28 pp. $4.00.
D-4179 "Halter Marine: A Case Study in the Dangers of Litigation," Kim S. Reichelt, May, 1990, 20 pp. $3.00.
D-3908 "Books on the Long Wave and Past Periods of Depression," Annotated Bibliography, 1987, 1 pp. Free.
D-4011 "The Long Wave in Economic Life," J.J. Van Duijin, De Economist, Vol. 125, No. 4, (1977), 32 pp. $3.00.
MEMBERSHIP IN THE SYSTEM DYNAMICS SOCIETY
The System Dynamics Society is an international scholarly organization whose membership encompasses teachers and researchers in schools, colleges, and universities, professionals in government and industry, and consultants active in the public and private sectors. Academic disciplines represented among its members include management, policy analysis, management science, economics, behavioral sciences, computer simulation, decision analysis, applied mathematics, statistics, engineering, and the natural sciences. What ties these individuals together is the promise of using a feedback perspective and computer simulation to understand problems arising in complex social systems and to enhance policy analysis and design.
The purposes of the Society, as outlined in its founding constitution are: to identify, extend, and unify knowledge contributing to the understanding of feedback control systems; to promote the design of structures and policies to improve the behavior of such systems; to promote the development of the field of system dynamics and the free interchange of information about systems as they are found in all fields of endeavor; to promote the dissemination of information on such topics to the general public; to encourage and develop educational programs in the behavior of systems.
SYSTEM DYNAMICS REVIEW
The Journal of the System Dynamics Society
The System Dynamics Review exists to communicate to a wide audience advances in the application of the perspective and methods of system dynamics to societal, technical, managerial, and environmental problems.
The Review seeks to publish advances in mathematical modeling and computer simulation of dynamic feedback systems; advances in methods of policy analysis based on information feedback and circular causality; generic structures (dynamic feedback systems that support particular, widely applicable behavioral insights); system dynamics contributions to theory-building in the social and natural sciences; policy studies and debate emphasizing the role of feedback and circular causality in problem behavior; developments in strategies for implementation of model-based policy conclusions.
Past issues of the System Dynamics Review may be purchased (if available) by contacting
Mrs.Roberta Spencer, Executive Director, System Dynamics Society
Rockefeller College, 135 Western Ave., Milne 300, Albany, NY 12222
Email: system.dynamics@albany.edu Phone: 518-442-3865
SYSTEM DYNAMICS SOCIETY
Membership and Subscription Form
Annual Dues: Regular member $90, Student member $45, Institutional member $125
Membership includes a year’s subscription to the Society’s journal, the System Dynamics Review.
APPLICATION FOR MEMBERSHIP
NAME: _______________________________________________________
INSTITUTION: ________________________________________________
TITLE: _______________________________________________________
ADDRESS: ____________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
COUNTRY: ____________________________________________________
TELEPHONE: ___________________________________FAX:_________________________________
Please return this form and your money order or check drawn on a U.S. bank made payable to System Dynamics Society . Mail to: John Wiley & Sons, Journals Administration, 1 Oldlands Way, Bognor Regis, West Sussex PO22 9SA, ENGLAND
The Beer Game Instructions, Videotape, and Game Boards
Together as a kit or each individually, the Beer Game essentials are available from:
Mrs. Roberta Spencer, Executive Director
The System Dynamics Society
Milne 300
Rockefeller College
University at Albany, State University of New York
Albany, NY 12222
Phone: (518) 442-3865
FAX: (518) 442-3398
Email: system.dynamics@albany.edu
Please contact Ms. Spencer for prices.
System Dynamics: Follow-up Resources
Prof. John Sterman
Director, System Dynamics Group
Sloan School of Management
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge MA 02142
617/253-1951 (voice) 617/258-7579 (fax) jsterman@mit.edu (e-mail)
This document lists some resources available for people interested in system dynamics, simulation software, management flight simulators, journals, and other information about the development and application of dynamic modeling and systems thinking around the world.
Software for Systems Thinking and Dynamic Modeling
STELLA and iThink run on Macintosh or IBM compatibles running Windows. Graphical user interface facilitates interactive modeling. Widely used for operational and strategic modeling. High Performance Systems, 45 Lyme Road, Ste 300, Hanover, NH 03755, 800/332-1202, fax: 603/643-9502. www.hps-inc.com/hps.html
DYNAMO is a mainframe or IBM-PC based simulation language. Widely used in logistics, project management, and other corporate applications. Pugh-Roberts Associates, 41 William Linskey Way, Cambridge, MA 02142, 617/864-8880, fax: 617/864-8884.
Powersim is a powerful simulation environment with graphical interface. Includes arrays, OLE/DDE capability, "co-models," gaming and other features. Can incorporate multimedia. Windows only. Powersim Corporation, 1175 Herndon Parkway, suite 600, Herndon VA 22170, 703/476-4228, powersim@powersim.com
Vensim is a powerful simulation environment with graphical interface and innovative capabilities for statistical estimation and calibration of models with historical data. Also includes arrays, gaming, DDE, other features. Used in a variety of corporate and defense-industry applications, as well as large-scale macroeconomic modeling at MIT. Macintosh and Windows. A free version called Vensim PLE can be downloaded from the URL below. Ventana Systems, Inc., 60 Jacob Gates Road, Harvard, MA 01451, 508/456-3069. Web: www.std.com/vensim
Publications and Other Resources:
System Dynamics Society and System Dynamics Review
Professional society of SD practitioners, academics, and users. Publishes the System Dynamics Review and membership directory; holds annual conferences. Membership includes subscription to the System Dynamics Review, published 4 times a year. The Review covers the theory and practice of system dynamics, with many applications to managerial issues. Membership: $80; Student membership: $40. Send dues to: Subscriptions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Baffins Lane, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 1UD, England. Web: www.std.com/vensim/SDSOCIET.HTM
Publication List, System Dynamics Group, MIT.
Current reprints and preprints available for a small cost from the System Dynamics Group; other information about systems thinking, journals, books, executive courses etc. Contact: Nan Lux, MIT, by email at: nlux@mit.edu
The Beer Distribution Game Materials: Video, instructions, and game boards
NOTE: free instructions can be downloaded:
http://learning.mit.edu/pra/tool/beer.html
The video, aired on the MacNeil/Lehrer News Hour in 1989, shows Professor Sterman of MIT leading the 'Beer Game', an interactive simulation of a company which shows how business cycles can occur. The Beer Game is widely used in business schools and corporations to help managers cope with the complexity of dynamic environments. The 12 minute video tape is used in the debrief session. Beer Game materials are available for a reasonable cost from Mrs. Roberta Spencer, Executive Director, System Dynamics Society, 300 Milne, Rockefeller College, Albany, NY 12222. Phone 518/442-3865. Email: system.dynamics@albany.edu
The Systems Thinker
Newsletter covering principles and real-world applications of systems thinking and organizational learning. 10 times a year. Contact: Pegasus Communications, PO Box 120, Cambridge MA 02142. 617/576-1231; fax 617/576-3114.
System Dynamics Email Discussion Group
A moderated email discussion list on system dynamics is maintained by Bob Eberlein of Ventana Systems. For information, see < www.std.com/vensim/SDMAIL.HTM>
System Dynamics on the World Wide Web
MIT System Dynamics Group: web.mit.edu/sdg/www
Publication list, working papers, research summaries for the members of the MIT group; links to other SD related sites
15.874 System Dynamics for Business Policy: web.mit.edu/15.874/www/
The introductory course in system dynamics at MIT’s Sloan School of Management; links to other SD resources
System Dynamics in Education project: http://sysdyn.mit.edu
Project at MIT system dynamics group developing curriculum material for K-12 and other educational settings. Current Project: The Road Maps series.
System Dynamics Society: www.std.com/vensim/SDSOCIET.HTM
Information on the Society and its journal, the System Dynamics Review
System Dynamics Bibliography: www.std.com/vensim/SDBIB.HTM
Downloadable bibliography of system dynamics work.
System Dynamics conferences: www.std.com/vensim/SDCONF.HTM
Access to virtual proceedings and conference information for the annual conference of the System Dynamics Society.
Announcing the
International Distribution of
Management Flight Simulators
**************************
Starting right now, Phrontis Ltd. has the responsibility for handling all requests for information or purchases that do not originate in the United States. They will distribute and support all the Management Flight Simulators mentioned here.
And especially good news.....
Phrontis accepts VISA, Mastercard and American Express charge cards.
All non-USA inquiries, please contact Phrontis at:
Prontis Limited
Beacon House
Horn Hill road
Adderbury
Banbury
OXON. OX17 3EU
U.K.
Phone: +44 (0) 1295 812262
Fax: +44 (0) 1295 812511
Email: t2@phrontis.demon.co.uk
http://www.phrontis.com
**************************
Management Flight Simulators
Summary Sheet
U.S.A. Orders Only: Contact the office of Prof. John Sterman,
Sloan School of Management
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge MA 02142
617/258-5583 (voice) 617/258-7579 (fax) (e-mail) jsterman@mit.edu
Non-U.S.A. Orders: Contact Phrontis Limited at <t2@phrontis.demon.co.uk>
People Express Management Flight Simulator.
Take the controls and 'fly' People Express Airlines from start-up to success...or bankruptcy. Used in Sloan's orientation program and by business schools and corporations around the world. Macintosh or IBM-compatibles running Windows (3.1 or Win 95)
B & B Enterprises ("Boom and Bust" Management Flight Simulator)
Interactive management flight simulator for competitive strategy. Manage a new consumer durable product from launch through maturity. Includes realistic aspects of strategic settings including the learning curve, pricing, customer word of mouth, marketing, and a wily competitor. Macintosh or IBM-compatibles running Windows (3.1 or Win 95)
F & B Enterprises ("Food and Brands" Management Flight Simulator)
Management flight simulator for competitive strategy in the consumer products industry. Manage a consumer brand through its life cycle by setting price and capacity, and using coupons, trade promotions, and advertising to gain competitive advantage. Like the B & B simulator the environment includes learning curves, pricing, customer word of mouth, marketing, and a wily competitor. Macintosh only.
Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator
Manage a real estate portfolio in a turbulent market. Can you stay cool through times of boom and bust, or will you be the next Donald Trump? Focuses on risk management and investment strategy for cyclical markets. Macintosh only.
International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator
The market for oil tankers is one of the most volatile in the world - tanker rates can change by a factor of five in a few months. Can you sail your fleet to a safe financial harbor through such dangerous seas? Focuses on investment strategy for cyclical markets. Macintosh only.
Beer Distribution Game
Board game simulating the production and distribution of a product. Widely used at all levels of management for team building and to develop awareness of systems issues. A computer-based management flight simulator of the game is now available (Macintosh only). The computer version is a complement to, not a substitute for, the board game.
People ExpressManagement Flight Simulator
In April 1981, People Express Airlines was launched – and a business phenomenon took off. By the beginning of 1986, People Express had grown to be the fifth largest airline in the United States, and had revenues of about $1 Billion per year. Its innovative management style and structure were praised as the wave of the future, and companies around the world rushed to imitate them. Yet by September of 1986, People Express was nearly bankrupt, and was acquired at the last minute by Texas Air.
What went wrong?
The People Express Management Flight Simulator gives you the opportunity to find out by 'flying' the company yourself. The simulator functions just as an aircraft simulator does. You will take command of the firm and pilot it from startup to success. Each simulated time period you will make strategic and operational decisions, and receive feedback from your past decisions. You decide how fast to grow, how to set prices, how aggressively to advertise. Your hiring policies will influence morale, productivity, and turnover; your marketing efforts will shape the growth of demand; your competitors will fight back. You may face financial crisis or unexpected opportunity. You may go bankrupt, or grow to dominate the industry. But there is no winning or losing. The purpose of the simulator is to to give you insight into the issues raised by the case; to illustrate the difficulties of coordinating operations and strategy in a growth market; and to understand the dynamic interconnections among a firm, its market, and its competitors. The flight simulator is a laboratory in which you can systematically explore the consequences of different strategies without risking the fortunes of the real enterprise.
The simulator is used successfully for management education and training at the Sloan School of Management at MIT and many other universities and companies. It is extremely easy to use, requiring little or no training. The simulator can be used in courses on strategy, operations, human resource management, organizational behavior, simulation, and operations research. It is effective as an introduction to principles of management, or as an integrative experience.
Hardware Requirements: The People Express Management Flight Simulator runs on the Macintosh family of computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks and Power Macs. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM. The People Express Management Flight Simulator is also available for IBM Compatibles running Windows version 3.1. It runs on systems with at least 4 MByte RAM. The software comes complete (no other applications are needed), and includes comprehensive documentation and instructions, a case study of People Express as background, and historical data on the company.
Prices: $50 (educational and non-profit), $90 (all others), plus $5 shipping and handling. Order form on reverse. Quantity discounts, site licenses and other simulation games are available. Order form, see next page. Call or write for information:
Prof. John Sterman 617/2531951
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
50 Memorial Drive, E53-351 jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
People Express Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
Hardware Requirements: The People Express Management Flight Simulator runs on the Macintosh family of computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks and Power Macs. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM. The People Express Management Flight Simulator is also available for IBM Compatibles running Windows version 3.1. It runs on systems with at least 4 MByte RAM. The software comes complete (no other applications are needed), and includes comprehensive documentation and instructions, a case study of People Express as background, and historical data on the company.
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
People Express Management Flight Simulator, v. 1.03
($50 for academic and non-profit customers, $90 all others) $
Postage and Handling 5.00
Macintosh or IBM Compatibles running Windows ‘95
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $
Make checks payable to "MIT " drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Asst.to Prof. John Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry, we are not set up to accept credit card payment.
B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator
Boom and bust is a pervasive dynamic for new products. Sales of new products often grow explosively as word of mouth, advertising, and falling prices attract new buyers. New producers tend to enter the market. But eventually the market saturates and sales fall, often just as capacity is growing the most rapidly. The all-too-frequent result is excess capacity, a price war, huge losses, and the failure of leading firms. The boom and bust dynamic appears in diverse industries, including personal computers, consumer electronics, toys and games, recreational equipment, and semiconductors, to name a few.
How does boom and bust arise? And why is it so persistent? What prevents companies from learning from the mistakes of others and smoothing out the roller-coaster of new product life cycles? The B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator creates a learning laboratory to explore these issues.
Players take the role of top management of B & B Enterprises, a fictitious firm based on a variety of real cases. The game begins as a new product is launched. Players are responsible for marketing, pricing, and capacity expansion decisions to maximize their cumulative profit over the next 40 quarters. The potential market is large, but as in real life key attributes of the market, including its size and price elasticity, consumer responsiveness to word of mouth, repurchase behavior, and other customer attributes, are unknown. The player also faces a simulated competitor whose pricing, marketing, and capacity expansion strategies are likewise unknown. The game illustrates fundamental principles of corporate strategy including the learning curve, time delays in capacity expansion, competitive dynamics, and market saturation.
The game can be used alone or in conjunction with a wide range of cases. The strategic environment captured in the game is particularly applicable to consumer durables, toys and games, fashions, fads, and other products that experience rapid growth and saturation. Consumer electronics such as video games, personal computers, CB radios, and VCR’s; durables such as 10 speed bicycles and chain saws; toys and games such as LazerTag and Trivial Pursuit; and even fad products such as wine coolers or fashion watches all exemplify the dynamics captured in the game. B & B focuses on the effective management of the life cycle of a new product, and allows the player to experience issues such as competitive strategy, coordination of pricing, marketing, and capacity acquisition. The game is currently in use at MIT's Sloan School and in a number of other universities and companies around the world. As product life cycles continue to shorten the dynamics exemplified in the game become more and more relevant.
B & B Enterprises runs on the Macintosh family of computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks and Power Macs. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. B & B Enterprises is also available for IBM Compatibles running Windows version 3.1. It runs on systems with at least 4 MByte RAM. The software comes complete (no other applications are needed), and includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual.
Prices: $50 (educational and non-profit), $90 (all others), plus $5 shipping and handling. Order form on reverse. Quantity discounts, site licenses and other simulation games are available. See order form on next page. Call or write for information:
Professor John D. Sterman Fax: 617/258-7579
Sloan School of Management, E53-351 50 Memorial Drive
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA 02142
B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
Hardware Requirements: B & B Enterprises runs on the Macintosh family of computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks and Power Macs. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. B & B Enterprises is also available for IBM Compatibles running Windows version 3.1. It runs on systems with at least 4 MByte RAM. The software comes complete (no other applications are needed), and includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual.
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
B & B Enterprises
($55 for academic and non-profit institutions, $95 all others) $______
Macintosh or IBM Compatibles running Windows 3.1 & Windows ‘95
_________
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $_________
Make checks payable to "MIT " drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Assistant to Prof. Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry, we are not set up to accept credit card payment.
The Beer Distribution Game Management Flight Simulator
Our increasingly interconnected and dynamic world challenges managers to find new ways to understand and control change. The accelerating rate of technological, organizational, and social change means managers are faced with situations that are in many ways new, and must increasingly deal with the unexpected. Managers are not alone in facing such daunting tasks. Modern society is built upon systems of enormous complexity, from nuclear power plants to jumbo jets. A pilot, for example, must also control a system of great complexity and be prepared for the unexpected. There is, however, one significant difference between the pilot of a jet and the manager of a business. No airline would dream of sending a pilot up in the real thing before they had had extensive training in a flight simulator on the ground. The simulator allows the pilot to learn, to make mistakes, to experience the unexpected without risk to passengers or aircraft. Yet managers are expected to fly their organizations into unknown skies with their only training being management 'ground school' or experience as junior crew members.
This management flight simulator is based on the manual version of The Beer Distribution Game. In the manual game, teams of participants manage each level of the distribution chain. Their are four levels in the system - Retailer, Wholesaler, Distributor, and Factory. Each week, the players at each level receive shipments of beer from their suppliers, fill as much of their customers’ orders as possible from their inventory, and place new orders for beer with their supplier. Their goal is to keep company costs as low as possible while meeting customer demand.
The Beer Distribution Game Management Flight Simulator gives you the opportunity to 'fly' a company yourself. The simulator functions just as an aircraft simulator does. You will take command of a firm and pilot it from start up to success. Each simulated time period you will make operational decisions and receive feedback from your past decisions. You may be surprised by side effects and delayed consequences of your own decisions. But there is no winning or losing. The purpose of the simulator is to give you insight into the behavior of a distribution system and to illustrate the difficulties of developing a robust strategy for managing even a very simple system. More fundamentally, the flight simulator is a laboratory in which you can systematically explore the consequences of various strategies without risking the fortunes of the real enterprise.
The Beer Distribution Game is not about and does not promote beer or drinking. It is about the dynamics of supply chains and teaches principles for effective management. The beer distribution system is chosen only as a representative instance among a wide variety of products and systems to which the lessons of this simulator are applicable.
Hardware Requirements: The Beer Distribution Game Management Flight Simulator runs on the Macintosh family of personal computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 800K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. The simulator includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual.
Prices: $50 (educational and non-profit), $90 (all others), plus $5 shipping and handling. Order form on
reverse. Quantity discounts, site licenses and other simulation games are available. See order form on next page. Call or write for information:
Professor John D. Sterman Fax: (617) 258-7579
Sloan School of Management, E53-351, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02142
The Beer Distribution Game Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
The Beer Distribution Game is a Board game simulating the production and distribution of a product. It is widely used at all levels of management for team building and to develop awareness of systems issues. A computer-based management flight simulator of the game is now available (Macintosh only). The computer version is a complement to, not a substitute for, the board game.
Hardware Requirements: The Beer Distribution Game Management Flight Simulator runs on the Macintosh family of personal computers, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 800K bytes of RAM. It is ready to run and requires no other software. It includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual. NOTE: Available only for Macintosh computers!
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
The Beer Distribution Game ($55 for academic
and non-profit institutions, $95 all others)
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $_________
Make checks payable to "MIT " drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Assistant to Prof. Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry....No credit card orders!
F & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator
The F & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator gives you the opportunity to 'pilot' a company from start up to success. Each simulated time period you will make strategic and operational decisions, and receive feedback from your past decisions. You will decide how fast to grow, how to set prices, and how aggressively to market. Your policies will shape the growth of demand and the way your competitors fight back. You may be surprised by side effects and delayed consequences of your own decisions. You may face financial crises or unexpected opportunities. You may go bankrupt, or grow to dominate the industry. But there is no winning or losing. The purpose of the game is to to give you insight into the issues raised by the particular case; to illustrate the difficulties of coordinating operations and strategy in a growth market; and to understand the dynamic interconnections among a firm, its market, and its competitors.
F & B Enterprises provides an experiential introduction to issues in corporate strategy, marketing, competitive analysis, and decision making. The game focuses on the management of a packaged goods product through its complete life cycle, from launch through maturity. Players take the role of top management of F & B Enterprises, a fictitious food and beverage manufacturer. The game begins as a new product is launched, and players are responsible for making marketing, pricing, and capacity expansion decisions to maximize their cumulative profit over the next 40 quarters. The player also faces a computer simulated competitor whose pricing, marketing, and capacity expansion strategies
are likewise unknown. The game illustrates fundamental principles of strategy including the learning curve, time delays in capacity expansion, competitive dynamics, market saturation, and so on.
The game software consists of three parts: the microworld, the information system, and the game controls. The microworld is a mathematical model which represents the structure of F & B, including
operations, capacity acquisition, the financial system, the market and customer base, competition, and so on. This model will generate dynamics over time as you make decisions. The information system
reports to you the current state of the system and allows you to review the history of the firm. For example, you will be able to monitor the financial performance of your firm quarter by quarter, and receive
reports on operations, human resources, the competition, etc. The controls allow you to make strategic and operational decisions to achieve your goals.
* The Microworld: At the heart of the game lies a microworld or simulation model of the firm and its environment. The model has been extensively tested and calibrated. However, like any model, it is a simplification of reality and omits certain factors and details.
F & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
F & B Enterprises a product life cycle simulation Portraying the launch, growth, maturity and decline of a consumer product such as a food or beverage brand product. It's been tested extensively with students and managers and is being used by a number of major corporations.
Hardware Requirements: F & B Enterprises runs on Apple Macintosh computers only, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 800K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. The software comes complete and ready to run (no other applications are needed), and includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual. NOTE: Macintosh computers only!
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
F & B Enterprises ($55 for academic
and non-profit institutions, $95 all others) $
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $_________
Make checks payable to "MIT" drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Assistant to Prof. Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry....No credit card orders!
Commercial Real Estate
Management Flight Simulator
Our increasingly interconnected and dynamic world challenges managers to find new ways to understand and control change. The accelerating rate of technological, organizational, and social change means managers are faced with situations that are in many ways new, and must increasingly deal with the unexpected. Managers are not alone in facing such daunting tasks. Modern society is built upon systems of enormous complexity, from nuclear power plants to jumbo jets. A pilot, for example, must also control a system of great complexity and be prepared for the unexpected. There is, however, one significant difference between the pilot of a jet and the manager of a business. No airline would dream of sending a pilot up in the real thing before they had had extensive training in the flight simulator on the ground. The simulator allows the pilot to learn, to make mistakes, to experience the unexpected without risk to passengers or aircraft. Yet managers are expected to fly their organizations into unknown skies with their only training being management 'ground school' or experience as junior crew members.
The Real Estate Management Flight Simulator gives you the opportunity to 'fly' a company yourself. The simulator functions just as an aircraft simulator does. You will take command of a firm in the volatile market for office buildings industry and pilot it from startup to success. You will decide how many existing buildings to buy or sell and how many new permits to request from City Hall. You may face financial crises or unexpected opportunities. You may go bankrupt, or grow to dominate the industry. But there is no winning or losing. The purpose of the simulator is to give you insight into the issues raised by the particular case; to illustrate the difficulties of investing in a volatile market; and to understand the dynamic interconnections among your firm, its market, and its competitors. More fundamentally, the flight simulator is a laboratory in which you can systematically explore the consequences of various strategies without risking the fortunes of the real enterprise.
Most of all, enjoy yourself. Experiment. The first time or two you will want to try to succeed using the strategies you think best. In later trials you may wish to vary systematically aspects of your strategy to identify high-leverage policies. Don't worry if you bankrupt the company. The beauty of a simulator is that you can 'crash' as many times as you wish and walk away every time. Indeed, most of the time real pilots spend in simulators is spent in extreme conditions. You can learn more from piloting the aircraft through rough weather, poor visibility, and with unexpected mechanical failures than in clear skies. Most of your learning will come from understanding what goes wrong. Have fun; you are cleared for takeoff.
Commercial Real Estate
Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator is a product life cycle simulation including the launch, growth, maturity and decline of the product. It's been tested extensively with students and managers and it's actually being used now by a number of major corporations.
Hardware Requirements: Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator runs on Apple MACINTOSH COMPUTERS ONLY, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. The software comes complete and ready to run (no other applications are needed), and includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual. NOTE: Available for Macintosh Computers only!
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
Commercial RealEstate Management Flight SImulator ($55 for academic
and non-profit institutions, $95 all others) $
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $_________
Make checks payable to "MIT" drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Assistant to Prof. Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry....No credit card orders!
The Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator
Our increasingly interconnected and dynamic world challenges managers to find new ways to understand and control change. The accelerating rate of technological, organizational, and social change means managers are faced with situations that are in many ways new, and must increasingly deal with the unexpected. Managers are not alone in facing such daunting tasks. Modern society is built upon systems of enormous complexity, from nuclear power plants to jumbo jets. A pilot, for example, must also control a system of great complexity and be prepared for the unexpected. There is, however, one significant difference between the pilot of a jet and the manager of a business. No airline would dream of sending a pilot up in the real thing before they had had extensive training in the flight simulator on the ground. The simulator allows the pilot to learn, to make mistakes, to experience the unexpected without risk to passengers or aircraft. Yet managers are expected to fly their organizations into unknown skies with their only training being management 'ground school' or experience as junior crew members.
The Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator gives you the opportunity to 'fly' a company yourself. The simulator functions just as an aircraft simulator does. You will take command of a firm in the volatile international shipping industry and pilot it from startup to success. You will decide how many existing tankers to buy or sell and how many new tankers to order from shipyards. You may face financial crises or unexpected opportunities. You may go bankrupt, or grow to dominate the industry. But there is no winning or losing. The purpose of the simulator is to give you insight into the issues raised by the particular case; to illustrate the challenges of investing in a volatile market; and to understand the dynamic interconnections among your firm, its market, and its competitors. More fundamentally, the flight simulator is a laboratory in which you can systematically explore the consequences of various strategies without risking the fortunes of the real enterprise.
Most of all, enjoy yourself. Experiment. The first time or two you will want to try to succeed using the strategies you think best. In later trials you may wish to vary systematically aspects of your strategy to identify high-leverage policies. Don't worry if you bankrupt the company. The beauty of a simulator is that you can 'crash' as many times as you wish and walk away every time. Indeed, most of the time real pilots spend in simulators is spent in extreme conditions. You can learn more from piloting the aircraft through rough weather, poor visibility, and with unexpected mechanical failures than in clear skies. Most of your learning will come from understanding what goes wrong. Have fun; you are cleared for takeoff.
The Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator
ORDER FORM
International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator a product life cycle simulation including the launch, growth, maturity and decline of the product. It's been tested extensively with students and managers and it's actually being used now by a number of major corporations.
Hardware Requirements: International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator runs on Apple MACINTOSH COMPUTERS ONLY, from the Mac Classic up, including Powerbooks. It is System 7 and 7.5 compatible. It requires only 400K bytes of RAM, and runs in color on color machines. The software comes complete and ready to run (no other applications are needed), and includes a User's Guide and Instructor's Manual. NOTE: Available for Macintosh Computers only!
Ship To (please type or print clearly): Date:
Name __
Address
Telephone
Quantity: Item: Amount:
International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator
$55 for academic and non-profit institutions, $95 all others $
TOTAL ENCLOSED: $_________
Make checks payable to "MIT" drawn in US dollars on a US bank. Mail to:
Assistant to Prof. Sterman 617/258-5583
MIT Sloan School of Management FAX 617/258-7579
E53-350 MIT Email: jsterman@mit.edu
Cambridge, MA 02142
Sorry....No credit card orders!